Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5f1c4d0f03fe54b933d1023216d68aea1528506ab5e4e1370e7675dc7669fe8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a4…7170backed No | 47c | 94,424$44,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,316.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 18,054$9,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,568.85 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 65c | 13,590$8,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,774.13 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 13,061$7,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,068.04 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 46c | 11,064$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,016.66 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 7,820$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 53c | 3,834$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 3,448$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.49 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…39a2backed Yes | 53c | 3,257$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 3,151$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.9 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b4…827fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 34c | 1,759$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.15 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 7c | 1,357$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.14 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 54c | 1,352$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 47c | 1,094$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.55 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 1,065$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.38 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 56c | 935.3$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e2…02b0backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 45c | 900$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 56c | 896.73$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 53c | 818.58$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.85 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 74c | 726.95$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.94 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 56c | 713.35$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.63 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 5c | 709.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.58 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 56c | 698$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.8 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…4ed3backed Yes | 55c | 659.11$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 53c | 632$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.96 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Yes | 54c | 555.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…2c89backed Yes | 54c | 551.78$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Yes | 22c | 535.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 54c | 500.02$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.01 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…50febacked Yes | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 25c | 401.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 25c | 394.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3f…a6bfbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 22c | 341.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Yes | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 17c | 339.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 14c | 312.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.28 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 50c | 312.27$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 284.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.49 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 53c | 251.8$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…d788backed Yes | 73c | 243.63$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 7c | 230.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.63 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Yes | 46c | 229$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 53c | 211.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 48c | 209.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…7a89backed Yes | 53c | 186.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes | 56c | 178.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 22c | 177.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…8607backed Yes | 56c | 171.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…0399backed Yes | 54c | 159.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 65c | 152.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…7e1bbacked Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…495dbacked Yes | 53c | 145.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 49c | 125$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 36c | 118.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes | 22c | 114.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…2ff5backed Yes | 55c | 112.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 110.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 44c | 109.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 45c | 105.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 79c | 102.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 45c | 102.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b72…d288backed Yes | 56c | 101.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 101.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 54c | 101.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.