Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f746b4a6c730af1d06ff4db13c1fa20c8e743e3fec324a55cb9ec037daa9a2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,450$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 4,278$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 4,137$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.88 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,936$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 77c | 1,298$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.53 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 24c | 1,124$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 944$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.12 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed No | 78c | 646$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 77c | 520$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 77c | 508.77$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 8c | 449.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 77c | 417$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 22c | 410.19$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 13c | 394.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 23c | 236$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 77c | 233$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 78c | 184.68$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 66cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ec…e820backed Yes | 11c | 175.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 152.07$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 77c | 121$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 13c | 116.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 78c | 101.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c26…cba0backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 77c | 81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee0…0801backed Yes | 23c | 77.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…7e14backed No | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 23c | 69.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 22c | 65.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 53.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa327…7574backed Yes | 23c | 43.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…9d6bbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 75c | 21.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…c469backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 78c | 14.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…d62cbacked No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.