Tennis · resolved market
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Matteo Martineau vs Martin Damm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e56d129a711cf349b1e40424d3adaec5fff3043736f38d4b984a4a8f646f910
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dammof Martineau, Damm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Martineau | 28c | 727.64$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Martineau | 34c | 655.43$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Damm | 75c | 351$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Damm | 67c | 348.35$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Martineau | 32c | 346.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Damm | 63c | 233.38$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Damm | 68c | 157.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Damm | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Damm | 49c | 114$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Damm | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 329 | 37.4%123 W · 206 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Damm | 80c | 103$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Damm | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…fca3backed Martineau | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbc…d46fbacked Martineau | 27c | 72.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Martineau | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Damm | 60c | 56.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Martineau | 36c | 56.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Damm | 78c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Martineau | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Damm | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Damm | 66c | 30.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ad…5a4ebacked Martineau | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Damm | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Damm | 71c | 19.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 244 | 74.2%181 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.