TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,928 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No50c10,329$5,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,175.73,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.891145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes53c1,792$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9502748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes56c1,200$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6722634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Yes56c1,054$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes30c999.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes56c882.14$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4942254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2652060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2755927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Yes56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Yes53c362.26$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1686219.4%12 W · 50 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-57.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c292.21$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Yes22c259.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No45c245.76$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4256849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No44c227.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1366150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2211536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No47c205$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.651,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Yes56c203$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.68825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109338.7%36 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae19…9d13backed Yes45c199.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No44c190.04$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.425635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5941…9583backed Yes57c176.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes26c175.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8376941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes28c166.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7270239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes56c157.95$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.457135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes56c139.29$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes55c125.37$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4496947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked No45c117.8$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.791861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.118349.4%41 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…d6f5backed Yes46c109.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No44c109.41$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4111246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b11…6f75backed Yes56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Yes56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602181%17 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick73cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed No46c104.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No47c102.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0825157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes55c101.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+78.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes25c99.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a3…1a11backed No61c98.41$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505738.6%22 W · 35 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed No45c90.91$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504060%24 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No44c88.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.42944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes56c83.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes56c76.79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes56c71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.761275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes56c65.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.494557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No44c63.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.494143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…bb76backed Yes56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc2…4837backed Yes56c60.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.052254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed No44c57.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4213050%65 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Yes56c53.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked No45c48.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes55c46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.316543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3711…7339backed Yes55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed No71c42.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49958.6%58 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4471…3f7bbacked Yes56c41.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No51c41.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.616956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Yes56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Yes51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No52c37.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.267656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5bdf…5761backed Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Yes56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes44c35.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.422138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.244269%29 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38ba…bcf9backed Yes55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked No45c27.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c3…fca3backed Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8018…247cbacked Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8564…cc05backed Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed No46c24.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.233250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked No45c22.76$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17e…b39abacked Yes56c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.952944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed No75c17.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No73c15.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.282934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f04…4cd8backed No75c13.92$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.