TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a92…6941backed Over41c13,580$5,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,628.931330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c12,035$5,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,150.63,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c7,554$4,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,743.312,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under60c3,483$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.13475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under60c3,244$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.3663857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under69c2,667$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.2870239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Over47c2,431$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1501758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over19c2,207$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4105729.8%17 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over76c2,000$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-67.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over40c1,773$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.06850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+62.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over21c729.11$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.241957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under76c628.58$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.17755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under24c616.38$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.4596947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over41c595.12$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2442948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Under65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+291.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over41c477.68$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.852330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over69c455$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.95560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under24c406.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.7391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over29c345.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005221.2%11 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over50c340$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over38c316.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b8d…f78abacked Over41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over38c298.63$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.486219.4%12 W · 50 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-57.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over76c264.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over44c252.8$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under72c236.69$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.199141.8%38 W · 53 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under25c236.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5169448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under24c231.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9844156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over26c212.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.43857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Over35c200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…ebf8backed Over57c199.96$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1218…1ec3backed Over76c193.42$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over21c190$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under27c185.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.668349.4%41 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over61c172.31$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over46c168.94$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.133836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over49c165.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.872055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over24c165.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Over76c161.84$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under54c152.8$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.291050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36c…8715backed Over13c149.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c139.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under30c135.86$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.11,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under63c135.43$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.732934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under59c132.29$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.241471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under79c122.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0738453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under61c108.83$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1612633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over73c107.04$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.198042.5%34 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over41c102.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427536%27 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under27c102.04$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4925157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under25c99.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9916543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1fb…90c7backed Over41c92.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c79.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ea…05b8backed Over75c79.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.81283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick73cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under25c78.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.859345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under24c68.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.156849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under68c65.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0574155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over76c65.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Over23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155032%16 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under24c62.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.211246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under72c58.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.462040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Under75c54.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba89…0fefbacked Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-65.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over69c49.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4913337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f4d…398dbacked Under62c45.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.361952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Under55c45.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.464546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcca0…3738backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over41c41.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…15afbacked Under25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+81.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over75c39.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.761782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over47c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.298551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over44c37.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.742138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under67c35.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8514654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under39c34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.646956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Under36c33.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Over75c33.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over46c32.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.092975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Under40c29.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.393250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10e…72a6backed Over56c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under64c27.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked Under77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over75c24.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.518261%50 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under55c20.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.237656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.