Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x206b87dd909a880e413e01ed358c54e54b32c6d85a904b87a9d0953c753af939
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RC Strasbourg Alsaceof Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, RC Strasbourg Alsace
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 22c | 3,683$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 25c | 2,408$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 2,213$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.36 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 77c | 2,189$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.48 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 19c | 961.94$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.77 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 19c | 927.31$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 75c | 640.52$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.88 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 78c | 587.42$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 11c | 509.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 23c | 435.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 77c | 401.38$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 19c | 317.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 19c | 193$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 18c | 146.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…1a11backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 19c | 100.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 78c | 71.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 21c | 68.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 23c | 62.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 76c | 52.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 22c | 48.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 78c | 42.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…f180backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 26.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 24.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 24.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 55c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 78c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.