Europa Conference League · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb10a3ff5945731ded68cd67e1aef79c4f906a05f2ccae0dbc97bbf308a146ae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 48c | 20,883$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 50c | 7,794$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 51c | 6,368$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.74 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 65c | 6,006$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 5,900$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.94 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 5,001$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.2 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.35 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Under | 49c | 3,367$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 52c | 2,727$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Over | 50c | 2,558$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Over | 48c | 2,442$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 2,387$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.77 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.98 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 1,707$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.58 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 1,506$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.88 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Under | 52c | 1,247$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ec…ed41backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…54a3backed Under | 52c | 932.83$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…a82bbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 51c | 641.23$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.2 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Under | 52c | 600.43$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…e053backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…5eefbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…2027backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…79b6backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Under | 51c | 380$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Over | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 321.43$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 21c | 315.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Under | 50c | 311.3$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 304$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 51c | 292.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 29c | 269.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Under | 50c | 268.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…f727backed Over | 51c | 266.08$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Over | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 237.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 77c | 226.69$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 51c | 203$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…ab05backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…1959backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 50c | 196$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 52c | 189.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d0…ba9bbacked Over | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 50c | 174$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 50c | 165.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…507abacked Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e8…3f48backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 49c | 135$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 55c | 116.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 50c | 106.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 106.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 51c | 104.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…d3c1backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 58c | 95.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 50c | 83.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 51c | 78.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 78.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 50c | 77.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Under | 52c | 67.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 51c | 63.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.