La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8400d17f2e74ab9c59e991c5b3062d95522b05fc8cb48ad10aea35b13e3825d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 49c | 8,000$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.1 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,579$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.21 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 1,450$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.18 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 1,269$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.1 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…e968backed No | 52c | 749.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 47c | 531.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.44 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 53c | 420.22$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 395.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 49c | 385.44$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 49c | 331.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 290.51$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.44 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 277.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.21 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked No | 52c | 229.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 49c | 226.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Yes | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 52c | 185.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 412 | 39.1%161 W · 251 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 166.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 53c | 157$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 48c | 144.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 113.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 111.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 51c | 109$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 96.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 54c | 86.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 73c | 68.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Yes | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 42c | 31.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…77a9backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…3784backed Yes | 45c | 24.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 50c | 22.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed No | 53c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 49c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed No | 53c | 20.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 53c | 19.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.