La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bb453256fb39bf33089266c5c2d31777325c554bef60015fd39fd6f4b92e5df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42dd…2d1dbacked Under | 32c | 8,196$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,561.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 7,888$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.25 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 6,651$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.24 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 4,949$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.85 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…1f77backed Over | 68c | 4,157$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Over | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 3,205$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.78 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…46f2backed Over | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 69c | 1,523$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.17 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 74c | 1,442$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.15 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…fd47backed Over | 68c | 1,172$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 71c | 1,151$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.85 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 80c | 400.18$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 42c | 279.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 20c | 236.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.06 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 236.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.73 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 235$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 25c | 208$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 32c | 200.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 75c | 183$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 74c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 31c | 132.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 26c | 112.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 27c | 80.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 63c | 77.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 20c | 74.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 79c | 63.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 66c | 55.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 73c | 54.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 67c | 37.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 54c | 36.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 73c | 31.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Over | 73c | 28.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed Under | 68c | 15.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.