TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,093
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,093 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Under55c31,926$17,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,348.091457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under51c15,685$7,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,728.1610450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over52c15,677$8,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,151.9915459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over40c8,330$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33214146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over49c7,616$3,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,731.8499933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under49c6,137$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over37c5,405$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8320054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Under52c4,000$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over40c3,750$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c2,837$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.594,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under50c2,509$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.2810168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over40c2,149$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.8757139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked Over49c2,040$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over50c1,802$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9019457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over41c1,768$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72517731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over49c1,763$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.0311054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c1,705$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.911,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over50c1,624$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.126261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,400$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.9764457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46c…6bc6backed Over41c1,335$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over46c1,075$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.9768450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.994245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over48c980$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.1310760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over47c885.08$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.997358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over50c716.82$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.417560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over48c562.1$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9713347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24512863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24512066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c496.92$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4932645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over50c394.82$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.413844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under51c384.6$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3119358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6170…03bdbacked Over41c368.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c344.2$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.742,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c319.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under61c314.87$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2340357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Over49c303.06$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15312821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over55c292.2$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.654753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c261.76$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.840239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over45c249.41$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8522246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over52c247.75$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.445455.6%30 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over46c241.66$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.097750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fac…6b48backed Over47c212.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over49c212$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.881,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Over49c202.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under63c198$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2622446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over41c168.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under71c132.11$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under47c119.25$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.618758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under64c111.69$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.366163.9%39 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7291…78e2backed Under49c109.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.891643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under53c109.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6592254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under48c105$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.67661.8%47 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under59c102.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2569750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over41c95.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.125944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over39c95.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.210060%60 W · 40 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.347850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over41c82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.626350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed Under47c81$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.93850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Over49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.23661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.89163.7%58 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa67…d948backed Over49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2514552.4%76 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over49c74.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.559354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over41c70.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292020%4 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over40c64.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0445450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Under47c63.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c63.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8875451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over49c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.559054.4%49 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over48c59.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7115655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…af1bbacked Under54c57.41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.414100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Over50c53.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.544852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Under48c52.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over52c51.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6419…0f53backed Over46c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.992050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under60c49.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9944039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe743…ce0fbacked Over41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.761330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under65c47.91$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7722557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over35c47.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7716363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8d31…94acbacked Over34c43.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under65c43.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0622760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022456.3%126 W · 98 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Over50c40.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.275052%26 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c91…af73backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.43666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.69060%54 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.68457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over53c37.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08cd…4edbbacked Over41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over50c31.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.453056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.