Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda452825f6b166bb1f4750bf6a1d252347769c351d97c382a7f6f9fad4f10095
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 48c | 32,304$15,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,798.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 55c | 14,413$7,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,917.19 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 11,343$5,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,906.86 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 52c | 8,100$4,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 3c | 6,560$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +275.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 6,329$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.61 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 56c | 3,658$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 3,365$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.18 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 2,017$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.32 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23c…33f1backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 79c | 1,981$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.08 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 44c | 1,643$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.01 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Under | 1c | 1,634$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 47c | 1,612$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.36 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 75c | 1,504$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.59 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +206%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 952.13$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.67 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 37c | 911.01$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.94 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…f208backed Under | 3c | 807.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 44c | 752.54$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.42 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…9086backed Under | 4c | 668$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 627.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.92 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 79c | 624.94$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.24 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 45c | 611.66$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.41 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 69c | 561.57$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 45c | 536.27$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.51 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 45c | 512.25$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.74 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 499.98$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.21 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 45c | 490.96$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.03 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 47c | 455.31$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 55c | 449.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 429.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.16 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 72c | 412.21$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 48c | 409.48$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Under | 53c | 408.16$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 45c | 399.28$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.61 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 56c | 394.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 44c | 372.51$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.7 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 44c | 372.51$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.7 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Under | 53c | 332.87$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 46c | 329.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.33 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 21c | 311.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 31c | 306.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.68 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed Under | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed Under | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 281.13$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 270.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 77c | 249.25$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.94 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 46c | 245.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 240.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 42c | 234.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 44c | 226.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked Under | 53c | 213.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Over | 56c | 208.16$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 45c | 204.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 53c | 196.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed Under | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed Under | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 52c | 190.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 53c | 187.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Under | 53c | 187.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 51c | 179.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 51c | 179.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 53c | 174.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 46c | 173.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 79c | 167.96$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Under | 17c | 164.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 68c | 154.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 19c | 150.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 30c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 45c | 141$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 70c | 140.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed Over | 26c | 112.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +290.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 44c | 112.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 47c | 106.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Over | 79c | 99.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 45c | 98.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…2c06backed Over | 48c | 97.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Under | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…1b63backed Over | 71c | 90.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)US Cremonese won
- US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.