Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b30fe3521e05b357f73fe51a5a59d15c6f45ed85ac3310bd8776f52869b07b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 3c | 909.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +275.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…be0dbacked No | 2c | 853.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 556.33$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.93 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 56c | 494.38$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.91 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 54c | 375.27$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.63 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 45c | 318.44$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 55c | 223.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 214.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…0748backed Yes | 54c | 205.61$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 44c | 199.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 55c | 185.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 49c | 176.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 55c | 150.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 54c | 102.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7e…d633backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +151.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 48c | 72.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 70.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 64.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Yes | 55c | 61.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 55c | 49.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 67c | 39.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 64c | 36.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 34.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 34.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 45c | 29.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 28.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 55c | 28.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 61c | 26.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 47c | 24.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked No | 55c | 22.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3948…8700backed Yes | 54c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 58c | 21.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…e1acbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Yes | 54c | 18.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)US Cremonese won
- US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.