NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19f9d7521665ccc70805bbe752c9f42f413d7c5e87401256cef209554878f3f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 54c | 21,630$11,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,003.37 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 11,544$5,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,321.45 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 10,956$5,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.02 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Under | 53c | 7,771$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.54 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 5,360$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.38 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 51c | 3,446$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.72 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 47c | 2,227$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.46 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…2492backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 52c | 2,040$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.83 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 1,940$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.29 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 55c | 1,439$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.7 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 1,148$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.31 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 1,091$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 73c | 999$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.73 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…9240backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 45c | 932.29$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.75 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Under | 58c | 866.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 800.6$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.36 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Over | 55c | 717.11$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.62 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 600$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 49c | 527.7$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.02 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 54c | 508.01$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.68 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 500$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.94 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 425.51$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 73c | 375.46$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa465…81ccbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Under | 59c | 329.86$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.31 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 306.22$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Over | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 49c | 268.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.23 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked Over | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 55c | 244.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Over | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Under | 37c | 213.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 27c | 207$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 45c | 205.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 199.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Over | 53c | 194.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 54c | 182.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…6845backed Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Under | 11c | 163$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 52c | 154.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 55c | 145$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 42c | 144.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 42c | 144.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 36c | 143.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 141$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Over | 54c | 141$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 54c | 141$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Under | 45c | 135.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 45c | 131$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…1d74backed Under | 48c | 127.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 46c | 125.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 125.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 44c | 117.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Over | 53c | 113$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 56c | 104$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…0827backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 45c | 99.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 48c | 95.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Under | 45c | 93.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 41c | 88.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Under | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 58c | 86.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…03b0backed Under | 48c | 76.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 60c | 76.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 54c | 74.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 47c | 66.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Over | 54c | 65.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 47c | 64.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Under | 51c | 62.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 49c | 52.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 54c | 49.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…5a00backed Over | 53c | 47.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 42c | 45.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 70c | 42.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 54c | 41.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3a…7bdcbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Under | 53c | 39.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked Over | 53c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 45c | 36.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…c234backed Over | 76c | 35.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.