TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,064 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c21,630$11,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,003.3789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c11,544$5,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,321.4555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c10,956$5,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.021,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under53c7,771$4,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,105.5493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under47c5,360$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.3864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under51c3,446$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.721,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under47c2,227$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.4665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb56…2492backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+58.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under52c2,040$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.8369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c1,940$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.292,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over55c1,439$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.764651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c1,148$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.312,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c1,091$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.652,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9962948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over73c999$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.7336243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2047…9240backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.42369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over45c932.29$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.7561638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Under58c866.87$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under47c800.6$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.3666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Over55c717.11$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.6211556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32910750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over54c600$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2791,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over49c527.7$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over54c508.01$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c500$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c425.51$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over73c375.46$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.626147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa465…81ccbacked Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Under59c329.86$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.313158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c306.22$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.741,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over54c280$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.816249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under49c268.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.231,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Over56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over55c244.33$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.361,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over54c231.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4811858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Under37c213.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6210146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under27c207$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5719548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over45c205.62$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0913759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over50c199.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4861151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Over53c194.74$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.537350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1933246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over54c182.09$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5e…6845backed Under53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Under11c163$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under52c154.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8060250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over55c145$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2522351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under42c144.17$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5521046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under42c144.17$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5518444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Under36c143.46$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1731222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c141$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8632045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Over54c141$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8614753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over54c141$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8636153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Under45c135.56$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Under45c131$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9529556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca2…1d74backed Under48c127.59$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.771241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under46c125.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5914148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c125.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under44c117.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6910941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Over53c113$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1114753.1%78 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010426.9%28 W · 76 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under56c104$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.241,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4625651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…0827backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under45c99.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.868354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over48c95.08$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2322143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f46…76f5backed Under45c93.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.93669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1e1…f5a9backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.294858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under41c88.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Under48c88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2410545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Under58c86.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011057.3%63 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f4…03b0backed Under48c76.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.943554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under60c76.11$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.413950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over54c74.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.461,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.126755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Under47c66.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.142040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3baa…96f4backed Over54c65.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.212646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Under47c64.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2140548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Under51c62.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.853857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under49c52.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7921953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2719952.3%104 W · 95 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over54c49.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x635c…5a00backed Over53c47.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.177742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over42c45.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2430616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over70c42.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.716867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.678544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under54c41.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Over56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611851.7%61 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.410747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3a…7bdcbacked Under47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.64658.7%27 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.917043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Under53c39.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.787949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Over53c37.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.622231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under45c36.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6323445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c6e…c234backed Over76c35.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.331872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2521574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.171752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.