Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c3e1c82e4cd89a0abd4446c3c72f10d47e0c2b7a5cc4253b0006f5bd5520eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Virtus.pro, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 23,923$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit | 70c | 10,433$7,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.94 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Spirit | 72c | 8,843$6,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.14 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 7,618$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.46 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 3,443$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.76 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Spirit | 69c | 3,304$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.91 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 68c | 3,086$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.5 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 2,970$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.59 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 76c | 2,306$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.72 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 1,326$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.41 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 1,250$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit | 73c | 1,200$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.8 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 1,142$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Spirit | 77c | 1,099$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.39 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,012$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.11 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Team Spirit | 72c | 864.3$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.06 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Spirit | 76c | 762.83$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.94 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Virtus.pro | 2c | 700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 664$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 622.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Spirit | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 573.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Spirit | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 512$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…115abacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 497.17$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 409.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…a66ebacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 398.36$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.51 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Spirit | 69c | 361.23$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ebc7backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 340.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 337.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 318.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb4…ebf7backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 281.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 278.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 259.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Spirit | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 249.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 216.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Team Spirit | 70c | 167$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 152.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 149.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Spirit | 78c | 131.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…975ebacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 119.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 76c | 117.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Spirit | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…05a0backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 99.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 92 | 10.9%10 W · 82 L | -18.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…0f32backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 87.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 85.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 81.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Team Spirit | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed Team Spirit | 70c | 50.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Spirit | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Team Spirit | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…12a9backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 117 | 39.3%46 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403e…3031backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fac…b3b4backed Team Spirit | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Team Spirit | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Team Spirit | 72c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e90…9a72backed Team Spirit | 71c | 15.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Team Spirit | 69c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.