TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Virtus.pro, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,884

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,985 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro17c53,873$9,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,117.141,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit76c15,551$11,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,732.1342650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…abfebacked Team Spirit77c10,148$7,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.2912049.2%59 W · 61 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Virtus.pro25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro24c3,250$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77481029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro19c2,949$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.3388539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Team Spirit78c2,855$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.112250%61 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit75c2,184$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.91,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro22c2,168$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.461,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb654…7be3backed Team Spirit73c1,900$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5131060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit76c1,682$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.221,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Virtus.pro27c1,500$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.7518550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Spirit78c1,331$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.1945750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Team Spirit76c1,296$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.622363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit78c1,200$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.791,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Virtus.pro12c1,100$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7610753.3%57 W · 50 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Spirit77c1,011$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.561,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Virtus.pro21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21021146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Virtus.pro11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11017133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Virtus.pro22c959.33$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.818328.9%24 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x316b…5d97backed Virtus.pro24c941.77$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…5ff5backed Virtus.pro24c921.64$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1950%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro16c910.34$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5937223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb28a…56e0backed Virtus.pro24c847.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Spirit77c839.63$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1217146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Virtus.pro11c814.97$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.633644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x874e…ab32backed Virtus.pro24c768.61$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Virtus.pro27c741.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006031.7%19 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5b9…da59backed Virtus.pro24c719.46$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Virtus.pro23c714.25$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3438142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Team Spirit75c708$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17750749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168c…53b0backed Virtus.pro24c698.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Team Spirit77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3514562.1%90 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Virtus.pro24c630.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.994027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Virtus.pro13c607$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5510618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked Virtus.pro24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9764…a691backed Virtus.pro25c501$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Virtus.pro24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Spirit76c500$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.251,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Virtus.pro23c499.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510048%48 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Spirit75c469$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0556548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc35f…f0e6backed Virtus.pro27c427.41$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit75c421.79$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.451,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Virtus.pro24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Team Spirit79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7521353.5%114 W · 99 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit73c361.68$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6556542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39ea…f75bbacked Team Spirit79c361.41$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.91729.4%5 W · 12 L-5.3wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-50.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Virtus.pro10c335$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.528050%140 W · 140 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Virtus.pro22c333.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5664744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad1…7653backed Team Spirit75c204.53$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.131464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4689749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Spirit77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4668649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95d…2ebdbacked Team Spirit73c195.61$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Virtus.pro22c181.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9733445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Virtus.pro23c180$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.818544.9%83 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Team Spirit75c179.6$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.916242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Spirit80c165.93$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.650353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Virtus.pro23c160$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.220738.6%80 W · 127 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Spirit80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2538167.2%256 W · 125 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Virtus.pro22c125$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.570236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Virtus.pro27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.440844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Virtus.pro23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2326846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed Team Spirit74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a84…e21abacked Virtus.pro12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-66.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Virtus.pro25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Virtus.pro21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x417f…4f23backed Team Spirit75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254924.5%12 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Virtus.pro16c99.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.373033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef5…3ff6backed Virtus.pro22c97.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.442227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2661…6c28backed Virtus.pro14c95.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138540%34 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed Virtus.pro21c93.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020735.3%73 W · 134 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Virtus.pro22c75.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6315549%76 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Virtus.pro23c68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.646051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4747…52efbacked Team Spirit74c66.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.222564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ee…6863backed Virtus.pro23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Virtus.pro26c59.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.629432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb01e…f001backed Team Spirit78c58.53$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efb…c0e6backed Team Spirit78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2822259%131 W · 91 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8f3…12a9backed Virtus.pro25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011739.3%46 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bfa…cceabacked Team Spirit78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed Team Spirit78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6422961.1%140 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Team Spirit72c21.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.093948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf815…4f3ebacked Team Spirit76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7427466.4%182 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbe8…e9d9backed Team Spirit78c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.963360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.