Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3915dd6b1e26e86b4e1f879f011b38c89e4b30a21438275f67f89f751910e17b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Virtus.pro, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 15,027$9,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,488.39 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 9,850$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.11 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 8,539$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 8,005$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.96 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 4,718$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.27 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 3,752$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.6 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 2,908$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.33 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 2,875$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.93 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 68c | 2,277$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.09 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 2,239$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.3 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 2,183$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 2,043$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.94 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 1,989$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.25 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 11c | 1,780$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.09 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,608$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.34 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 1,389$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.85 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 1,388$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.38 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit | 73c | 1,069$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.6 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 1,052$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.17 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Spirit | 80c | 1,046$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.06 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 1,010$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.52 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 1,010$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.52 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 62c | 989.69$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.23 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 855.9$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.23 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 5c | 838$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 793.78$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 790.89$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 724.02$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.13 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Spirit | 71c | 705.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.52 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 672.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Spirit | 66c | 620.65$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.76 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Spirit | 62c | 605$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.9 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 533.26$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.24 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Spirit | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Team Spirit | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Spirit | 67c | 450.59$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 441.12$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.74 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Spirit | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 375.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Spirit | 69c | 361.23$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 356.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Spirit | 70c | 345.08$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Team Spirit | 62c | 305.39$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Team Spirit | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 64c | 299.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 262.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 242.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 204.35$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 171.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 160.38$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 150.44$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381a…9179backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 147$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…eca0backed Team Spirit | 68c | 129.26$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Team Spirit | 61c | 120.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 106.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Virtus.pro | 14c | 102.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 97.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 85.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Spirit | 62c | 82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Team Spirit | 68c | 75.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd04…561fbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 73.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Team Spirit | 59c | 72.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 66.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Spirit | 69c | 63.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Spirit | 61c | 60.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed Team Spirit | 62c | 56.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 52.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 48.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31d…df8abacked Team Spirit | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 32.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Team Spirit | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Spirit | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Team Spirit | 59c | 26.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Team Spirit | 62c | 24.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Team Spirit | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Spirit | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Team Spirit | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Team Spirit | 77c | 18.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.