TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Virtus.pro, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro26c56,913$14,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,707.961,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Virtus.pro29c22,620$6,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,462.3433746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid71c17,241$12,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00042650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Team Liquid71c12,069$8,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500.0110445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Virtus.pro28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80010751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Team Liquid71c7,161$5,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.736051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid70c6,672$4,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.152,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid71c6,311$4,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.1940051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid72c3,760$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.431,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed Team Liquid71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8702552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked Virtus.pro26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9912630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid67c2,482$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.951,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b5…0ddabacked Team Liquid72c2,300$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6371861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro23c1,554$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.4988539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Liquid73c1,374$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.8920367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid66c1,200$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.6477256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Virtus.pro40c1,153$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4603938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid73c1,110$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.262,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid73c1,100$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29280544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Liquid73c1,030$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.211,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Liquid71c1,011$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.8717146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid70c1,010$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.771,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Liquid72c1,002$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.7537241.9%156 W · 216 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Virtus.pro40c1,000$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39951140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Virtus.pro29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29064744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Team Liquid71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29018550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Team Liquid73c902.05$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.557060%42 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid76c872.91$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.382,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Virtus.pro29c852.59$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24520727.5%57 W · 150 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid74c816.73$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8745750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro18c783.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.051,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Liquid72c781$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.256348.1%271 W · 292 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed Team Liquid74c774.67$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691f…c4a1backed Virtus.pro27c754.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Team Liquid72c700$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19617946.9%84 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Team Liquid73c688.24$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8324536.7%90 W · 155 L-14.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Team Liquid73c682.87$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3722363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro25c654.67$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6781029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro12c600.46$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6637223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Team Liquid70c550$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1654332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc63…e834backed Virtus.pro26c548.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-50.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed Team Liquid74c502$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.522352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Team Liquid73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Team Liquid64c500$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18128050%140 W · 140 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe66e…946bbacked Team Liquid73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13521043.8%92 W · 118 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Virtus.pro27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13522727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Virtus.pro28c499.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9929143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid72c496.16$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid71c482.26$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.8468649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Virtus.pro26c439.17$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1813731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce0…72c1backed Virtus.pro12c421.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked Team Liquid74c406.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.398959.6%53 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Team Liquid71c395.97$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6967546.1%311 W · 364 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Liquid69c395.86$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0571142.6%303 W · 408 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Team Liquid75c373.33$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3320452.5%107 W · 97 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Virtus.pro8c371.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2824343.6%106 W · 137 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Virtus.pro27c313.36$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6165441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid78c307.84$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.131,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Team Liquid71c297.59$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.319242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b9…6de3backed Virtus.pro33c295.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid70c283.03$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9496645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid71c277.01$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1289749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Virtus.pro26c272.89$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4510618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid74c271$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.481,11336.2%403 W · 710 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Team Liquid77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Virtus.pro18c234.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9710735.5%38 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba91…e999backed Virtus.pro13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd49…3096backed Virtus.pro16c230$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.35424.1%13 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Team Liquid73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4886451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Virtus.pro27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3529432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Liquid71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5820448%98 W · 106 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Virtus.pro26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Virtus.pro25c199.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.616349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Team Liquid72c193.64$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0116242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Liquid79c183.56$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0150353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro28c173$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4444149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2548539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd0…ff51backed Team Liquid74c148.65$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.651250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Liquid70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8626843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4392…0da3backed Team Liquid73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b79…a5a8backed Team Liquid73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9911346%52 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Team Liquid70c131.58$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.161656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Liquid73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.465447.4%310 W · 344 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Team Liquid72c118.06$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0637549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Team Liquid69c117.53$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.431872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Virtus.pro19c109.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3753139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7511…7fb5backed Virtus.pro29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae16…7111backed Team Liquid67c101.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.657047.1%33 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Liquid71c100.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.281,25549.6%623 W · 632 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Team Liquid72c100.43$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3633445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9976…59acbacked Virtus.pro11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112540%10 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Virtus.pro12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128432.1%27 W · 57 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Liquid72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,27045.1%573 W · 697 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Virtus.pro29c96.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Virtus.pro28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Liquid68c88.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0838167.2%256 W · 125 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed Virtus.pro31c87.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720735.3%73 W · 134 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Virtus.pro30c81.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5125348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.