Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa996ef9205941990c665f72ee59c9cf1d1f46822d03113f0e60e5652d2585acb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Virtus.pro, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 63c | 12,899$8,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.99 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 9,995$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.25 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 58c | 8,888$5,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.4 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 7,916$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978.31 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 6,870$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.99 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 6,397$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.36 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 6,342$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.53 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 66c | 5,635$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.4 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 5,012$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 62c | 5,002$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.08 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 4,458$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.83 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 3,410$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.5 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 3,250$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.25 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 3,250$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,902$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.92 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 2,898$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.18 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 2,818$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.09 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 2,691$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.53 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 2,597$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.07 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 2,422$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.91 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 2,055$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.28 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 2,044$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.39 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 1,795$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.62 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,568$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.2 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 1,536$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,356$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.75 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,320$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.9 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 1,150$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.21 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,131$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,108$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.93 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 1,064$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.94 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Liquid | 55c | 1,006$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.41 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Liquid | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 950$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Liquid | 64c | 945.04$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.03 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 65c | 916.3$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.71 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 881.66$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 845.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.72 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 810.42$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 800.29$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 759.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.4 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Liquid | 42c | 757.47$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.33 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 66c | 685.58$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Liquid | 63c | 682$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.34 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 670.91$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid | 67c | 624.29$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.51 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 607$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.79 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid | 56c | 583$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.19 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid | 66c | 550$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.27 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 544.46$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.69 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 540$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 533.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.01 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 531.82$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.82 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Liquid | 66c | 530$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 516.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Team Liquid | 66c | 514.66$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 510.33$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.18 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 509.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.29 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 477.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 450.62$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 432$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid | 65c | 421.54$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 381$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.11 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…c0c5backed Team Liquid | 80c | 375.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Liquid | 67c | 372.01$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 368$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 361$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.74 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 63c | 342.27$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Team Liquid | 68c | 328.9$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 321$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Liquid | 70c | 300$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 66c | 296$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 292.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Team Liquid | 72c | 278.61$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 277.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 276.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 261.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 63c | 240.77$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 235.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 230.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 230.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 228$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 222$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 216$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Team Liquid | 58c | 208.53$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Liquid | 72c | 207.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Team Liquid | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.