MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2db4fb0fc6233e207ac73a986ca5fe883961faccbf4ed2edc9e4d5f8a788dd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 50c | 63,679$31,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,824.95 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 59,730$29,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,864.95 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 3,333$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.47 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 3,320$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 2,873$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.92 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 2,873$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.92 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,544$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 52c | 1,533$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.72 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Under | 47c | 1,480$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 1,209$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 52c | 1,086$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.63 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 50c | 800.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.05 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 726.34$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.53 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 50c | 577.15$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.58 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 546.17$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 52c | 537.36$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.93 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 50c | 532.29$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.7 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 446.76$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.02 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Over | 64c | 437.5$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Over | 51c | 435.29$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 310.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Over | 66c | 280.3$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 239.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Under | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…b9d8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 151 | 38.4%58 W · 93 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…ef5bbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58f…130dbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 47c | 97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 95.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…354dbacked Over | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Under | 49c | 47.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 36c | 46.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe052…fa71backed Under | 36c | 40.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…9c47backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 39.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 54c | 37.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Over | 79c | 31.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc62…ba48backed Over | 52c | 29.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…6fbfbacked Over | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e0…827bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 52c | 19.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.