TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Milwaukee Brewers, Los Angeles Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,375 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c2,000$1,360 inWon+$639.992,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed Milwaukee Brewers31c1,594$500 inLost-$500837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Milwaukee Brewers34c1,527$513 inLost-$512.664837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Dodgers69c1,167$807 inWon+$360.552,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c964.85$653 inWon+$312.1156851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad64…2f33backed Milwaukee Brewers32c781.25$250 inLost-$2506429.7%19 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers65c777.99$507 inWon+$271.4610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers32c749$240 inLost-$239.682,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers31c321$99 inLost-$98.6812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c285.86$194 inWon+$91.484,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Milwaukee Brewers33c227.27$75 inLost-$7520552.7%108 W · 97 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers79c175$138 inWon+$36.653,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Milwaukee Brewers19c146.75$28 inLost-$27.8299624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Dodgers69c120.67$84 inWon+$36.882,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers68c100$68 inWon+$322,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Milwaukee Brewers33c100$33 inLost-$3384651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Milwaukee Brewers62c70$43 inLost-$43.447589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers76c40.67$31 inWon+$9.923,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c32.36$22 inWon+$10.363,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb6…d381backed Milwaukee Brewers32c31.25$10 inLost-$104035%14 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers36c30$11 inWon+$19.29,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c20$14 inWon+$6.412654%68 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.