MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x907ff0c8bbb4a3edd8e3e9eeba0f61001ae9ace17d326e9e8cc8c0f2c79863d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $423,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 180,886$92,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,135.42 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 144,806$70,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,747.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 26,619$11,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,934.89 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 52c | 13,477$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 54c | 5,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.99 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 43c | 4,420$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.35 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Under | 58c | 3,764$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.88 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 3,594$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 24c | 2,884$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 22c | 2,351$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Under | 46c | 1,853$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.09 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 1,626$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…a8a1backed Over | 62c | 1,591$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 59c | 1,475$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.76 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 51c | 958.82$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.82 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 54c | 930.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.65 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 12c | 835.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 48c | 776.9$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.46 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 2c | 755.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ec…0959backed Under | 54c | 741.34$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 50c | 595.3$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.65 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 59c | 422.48$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.09 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 9c | 402.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Over | 20c | 374.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 44c | 283.25$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.45 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 48c | 273.9$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Under | 51c | 243.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 11c | 227.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d93…c671backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 57c | 186.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Over | 55c | 150.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 41c | 121.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 19c | 121.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 55c | 115.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Over | 25c | 102.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6767backed Over | 25c | 87.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Under | 49c | 85.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 42c | 77.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…9d98backed Over | 56c | 71.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Under | 47c | 70.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 41c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 51c | 49.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 60c | 34.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…8529backed Under | 56c | 34.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…766abacked Over | 46c | 32.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Over | 48c | 31.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 63c | 31.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked Under | 55c | 27.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 53c | 26.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Under | 71c | 22.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 49c | 20.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 62c | 20.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…9c47backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3834…d360backed Under | 56c | 17.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 63c | 17.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.