MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d446ba6b63c0e323f34729f92c7a952847087a0f1b1a7523518ee217f1a73da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 26c | 12,936$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Colorado Rockies | 72c | 10,594$7,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.07 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 5,374$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.29 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 5,002$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.12 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 3,130$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.23 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 1,783$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 26c | 1,195$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.7 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 629.38$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.07 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 21c | 416.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 341.47$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 287.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Colorado Rockies | 74c | 218.87$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 26c | 217.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 203.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Colorado Rockies | 76c | 185.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 154.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Colorado Rockies | 66c | 118.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 110.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 102.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Colorado Rockies | 68c | 100.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies | 74c | 79.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd6…1733backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Colorado Rockies | 67c | 63.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…7978backed Colorado Rockies | 77c | 57.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Colorado Rockies | 77c | 53.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 52.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Colorado Rockies | 66c | 51.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 29c | 37.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Colorado Rockies | 68c | 36.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 25.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 22.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4398…ab32backed Colorado Rockies | 66c | 20.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17f…fd85backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 19.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…76b1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 19.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Colorado Rockies | 76c | 15.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.