MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa091d956e2bad77e11aceb1d4274d0602ec6cc883a88569432614a0e88266201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 70c | 10,850$7,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.68 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 28c | 7,245$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 2,543$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.16 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 47c | 715.64$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.02 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Under | 4c | 713.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.31 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 273$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Over | 34c | 220.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 48c | 205.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 48c | 205.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 48c | 205.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 62c | 194.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 48c | 188.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 76c | 145$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 49c | 137.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 34c | 133$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 78c | 131.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 50c | 116.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 106.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Under | 54c | 91.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 16c | 85.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Over | 15c | 81.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 51c | 57.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 56.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 70c | 54.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…60d0backed Over | 48c | 52.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 38c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 49c | 44.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 57c | 44.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Under | 49c | 43.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd6…1733backed Under | 47c | 40.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 34c | 33.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…5710backed Over | 48c | 30.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…f3f0backed Over | 48c | 30.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Under | 49c | 29.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Under | 54c | 28.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 61c | 27.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 57c | 26.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.