TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Colorado Rockies51c20,996$10,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,708.1998149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies43c15,873$6,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,880.2111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c9,770$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,770.1961351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Los Angeles Dodgers71c7,042$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.251376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies32c5,821$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.378,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb2f…9156backed Los Angeles Dodgers70c5,442$3,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.855100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c5,394$2,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.0660350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Los Angeles Dodgers73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3507460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd786…a8a1backed Colorado Rockies56c1,900$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies38c1,579$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.8810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Colorado Rockies51c1,034$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.893,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Colorado Rockies45c762.58$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.725742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Colorado Rockies71c708.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies45c617.89$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.3412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Los Angeles Dodgers58c599.95$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.978235.4%29 W · 53 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.042941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Colorado Rockies49c405.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Colorado Rockies45c391.31$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.095450%27 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57fe…13c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c389.29$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.296131.1%19 W · 42 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Los Angeles Dodgers62c358.55$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2570546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers69c292.41$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.65048%24 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Los Angeles Dodgers72c273.61$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.617256.9%41 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Colorado Rockies45c257.03$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2999624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c242.8$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.411,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c242.78$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.49851%50 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c199.03$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0330928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e79…10c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers65c187.69$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.696369.8%44 W · 19 L+8.9wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies46c186.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.114,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c173.19$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4773949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers76c160$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.25,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Colorado Rockies32c155.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1233934.5%117 W · 222 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Colorado Rockies49c153.6$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756240.3%25 W · 37 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c136.4$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.372,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c133.17$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9222445.5%102 W · 122 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Colorado Rockies45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c111.01$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.025,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c108$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5444737.4%167 W · 280 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Colorado Rockies45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Los Angeles Dodgers26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7481651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Colorado Rockies45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513858.7%81 W · 57 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers64c78.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1211648.3%56 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Colorado Rockies45c78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.11,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Colorado Rockies45c75.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3419353.9%104 W · 89 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Colorado Rockies42c72.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017462.6%109 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc003…b53abacked Colorado Rockies69c71.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1074…a25dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c60.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.383751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…2dd3backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d85…3a04backed Los Angeles Dodgers80c52.17$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.431050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b48…1d04backed Colorado Rockies45c52.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.531553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Colorado Rockies63c52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7257046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Colorado Rockies38c51.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.771,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Colorado Rockies45c51.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0412352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249651%49 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd6…1733backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.172934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Colorado Rockies32c49.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers33c48.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3846952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff66…39cfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c47.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.852646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Colorado Rockies46c46.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.338140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers65c45.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8210850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Colorado Rockies42c43.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3534754.8%190 W · 157 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Colorado Rockies32c43.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1489950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Colorado Rockies47c43.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2858054.5%316 W · 264 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c40.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.733,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c40.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Colorado Rockies45c40.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9622848.2%110 W · 118 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44be…76b1backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c37.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.182365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb964…927fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers71c35.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.19580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Colorado Rockies35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2977353.9%417 W · 356 L+35.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c32.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.266,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c30.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.241,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c30.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.241,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf45c…5f7abacked Colorado Rockies55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd030…f3f0backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c25.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1611946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde1b…5710backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c25.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1610145.5%46 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c22.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3369447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f6…cd51backed Colorado Rockies69c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Colorado Rockies49c21.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5130048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Los Angeles Dodgers72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8326940.5%109 W · 160 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c19.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.646243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c18.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.696448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c18.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3897050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers61c17.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.811,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5d…241cbacked Colorado Rockies74c14.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.