TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,086,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,086,380 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 596 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1be…cc57backed No52c402,248$208,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208,285.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes49c73,944$35,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,977.531,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No50c54,474$27,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,236.086465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes48c46,269$22,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,059.8734144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Yes48c41,241$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,241.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes48c40,040$19,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,801.0617251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes50c39,771$20,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,708.3475142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c32,983$18,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,602.023,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No50c32,368$16,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,183.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c31,762$15,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,972.933945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Yes49c27,902$13,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,230.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No51c21,118$10,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,708.7633244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes48c20,000$9,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4502540%10 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No51c19,409$9,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,841.031241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes48c18,000$8,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,44016652.4%87 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Yes49c16,097$7,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,163.062846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No51c14,404$7,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3461338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98b5…b6bebacked Yes48c13,567$6,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,054.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Yes48c12,500$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,500540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Yes49c12,257$6,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,251.14650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes49c12,245$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,244.93961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes49c12,184$5,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,213.674949%24 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Yes48c11,815$5,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,149.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes49c10,800$5,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,53956547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes48c10,488$5,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,406.4969851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes49c10,068$4,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,093.851947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes47c8,732$4,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,612.793953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes49c7,710$3,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,932.24254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes64c7,484$4,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.561,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50016647%78 W · 88 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed No51c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,570728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes45c6,263$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,446.395455.6%30 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+50.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeafb…1897backed Yes49c5,942$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad84…1f2bbacked Yes49c5,910$2,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Yes50c5,882$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9412638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed No51c5,695$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No50c5,500$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.976126.2%16 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes73c4,614$3,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.0153645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes50c4,027$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.766159%36 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No50c4,011$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.345923.7%14 W · 45 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick34cpaid+8.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002931%9 W · 20 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes49c3,877$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.272040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes50c3,632$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8163141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes50c3,609$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.647967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes72c3,469$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.46051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes48c3,333$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.164351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes48c3,193$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No50c2,732$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.093452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes54c2,607$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.182,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c2,599$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.996010%6 W · 54 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+119.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No50c2,494$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.964456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes50c2,410$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20534547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes48c2,075$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.312962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.821952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Yes47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No26c1,963$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.272450%12 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No51c1,910$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.3562452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes50c1,813$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.510361.2%63 W · 40 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Yes50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No51c1,620$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.23461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes50c1,610$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.124050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes48c1,562$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.247254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Yes49c1,530$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Yes51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7352755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7653834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76515847.5%75 W · 83 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No3c1,500$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.53520%7 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes46c1,441$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.8930647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Yes48c1,347$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes53c1,307$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.651,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes49c1,286$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.247345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No50c1,245$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.4635856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49e1…cf7bbacked Yes50c1,213$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Yes49c1,115$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.43742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Yes72c1,111$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.111770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5613554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes56c1,073$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.9240744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Yes48c1,050$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aea…9173backed No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…fd9dbacked Yes49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5105554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200d…f117backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b5…5dd9backed No52c980$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd26c…4472backed Yes49c980$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes50c972.93$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.871560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf66…ea9dbacked Yes49c970$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed No52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…4417backed No52c950$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9494…85a2backed No52c920$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes49c915.25$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.0316343.6%71 W · 92 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…1a2cbacked Yes49c900$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes49c854.34$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.5256951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed No52c835$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71b…9b1abacked Yes49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb64…51d9backed No52c790$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9fc…0996backed No50c784$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe874…d49fbacked No52c760$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.