Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f5cdac04af15253d97a4787cf652cca91fabf979b8506fdbf709acd04b3a391
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 2,844$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.21 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 2,594$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 1,755$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,199$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.15 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 66c | 1,111$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.18 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 1,072$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.86 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 22c | 941.97$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.06 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 34c | 939.04$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.21 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 33c | 706$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.02 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 482.82$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.97 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 461.83$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.29 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 67c | 443.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.47 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 38c | 414.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.46 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 4c | 413$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 66c | 341$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.06 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 313$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.58 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 285.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.09 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 15c | 183$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 33c | 163.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 161.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…0927backed Yes | 34c | 152.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed Yes | 33c | 147.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 65c | 72.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 66.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 66.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 63.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 17c | 59.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 26c | 59.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…8da5backed Yes | 32c | 57.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 57.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 52c | 53.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf20…b9e4backed Yes | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 73c | 44.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 36.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…3544backed Yes | 73c | 31.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…eb4cbacked Yes | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 67c | 26.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 16.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.