Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5afa329bc6b3b315d0a4ff1960b875a59fbb7c96cdc1f494d26f362b8586be50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 3,632$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.46 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 7c | 1,478$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,200$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.79 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…44c4backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 34c | 580.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 580$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.14 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 76c | 513.73$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.22 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 501.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…10fbbacked No | 60c | 340.91$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…376cbacked Yes | 41c | 336.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 273.52$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Yes | 32c | 271.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed Yes | 38c | 132.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed No | 67c | 119.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 78.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf20…b9e4backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Yes | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 31.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Yes | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…51ebbacked No | 70c | 28.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…ba36backed Yes | 39c | 26.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed Yes | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.