Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5e104951c371ed6db866638757ede04178e1efbd39fd5d8dc285c4846b08758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 5,064$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 30c | 3,031$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.46 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 2,706$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.98 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 43c | 2,344$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 1,715$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.7 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 1,468$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.71 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 27c | 1,251$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.72 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 40c | 1,150$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 896.81$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.78 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 41c | 893.31$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 858.22$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.96 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 37c | 594$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.79 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 560.58$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.11 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 38c | 513$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 37c | 500.23$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.05 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 43c | 466.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 31c | 324.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…8da5backed Yes | 30c | 316.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 71c | 312.12$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 39c | 289.86$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 79c | 275.45$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Yes | 29c | 242.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 70c | 232$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…0927backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 28c | 138.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 30c | 116.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 115.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 65c | 107.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 41c | 107.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 46c | 89.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 88.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 34c | 62.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed Yes | 40c | 58.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 57.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 49.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…e920backed No | 65c | 31.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed No | 62c | 28.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…fbf2backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 79c | 27.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…a5a9backed Yes | 47c | 26.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…3544backed No | 69c | 20.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbe…282bbacked No | 68c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 68c | 18.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 70c | 18.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.