Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c53f881d3e914f053a62c21ebbeafd72eba5da08737f730bd06fca264a38f1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 2,908$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.61 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,942$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.91 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 1,512$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.22 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…99edbacked Yes | 40c | 1,486$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 1,413$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.92 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 40c | 1,407$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 42c | 1,168$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.82 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 25c | 519.51$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 9c | 499.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 40c | 499.93$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.97 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 28c | 492$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 28c | 391$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Yes | 39c | 383.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 58c | 383.84$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 77c | 199.33$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 60c | 164.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Yes | 32c | 153.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 151.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Yes | 40c | 144.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 136.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 16c | 130.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 42c | 103.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 40c | 90.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…43afbacked Yes | 39c | 89.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 61c | 68.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed Yes | 21c | 65.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 62.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked No | 70c | 57.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 54.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 57c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 60c | 40.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 39c | 38.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 39c | 32.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 65c | 17.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.