Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x434b41af2b51d5eafb3c8104673708811fb76d199d41785a44bfecfbe530d6fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Alcaraz, Fils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $652,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $667,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $652,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Fils | 13c | 52,500$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Fils | 14c | 44,914$6,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,284.32 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Fils | 11c | 40,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Fils | 9c | 37,832$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.16 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Fils | 14c | 27,512$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Fils | 8c | 25,145$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.37 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Fils | 12c | 21,940$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.1 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Fils | 13c | 16,078$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.28 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…9accbacked Fils | 13c | 15,377$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.99 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Fils | 3c | 14,551$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.46 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Fils | 8c | 14,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Fils | 12c | 12,246$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.94 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Fils | 2c | 10,120$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Fils | 14c | 10,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Fils | 14c | 9,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Fils | 14c | 8,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Fils | 13c | 7,063$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.17 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Fils | 13c | 6,900$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Fils | 8c | 6,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Fils | 6c | 5,997$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.84 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fils | 10c | 5,621$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.4 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Fils | 5c | 5,434$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.57 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Fils | 2c | 5,333$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fils | 8c | 4,662$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.89 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fils | 6c | 4,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Fils | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fils | 6c | 3,982$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Fils | 9c | 2,478$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.71 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…7eb1backed Fils | 4c | 2,353$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fils | 11c | 1,706$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Fils | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…b549backed Fils | 10c | 1,429$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Fils | 14c | 1,364$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.96 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fils | 12c | 1,269$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…da73backed Fils | 13c | 1,208$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Fils | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…c639backed Fils | 14c | 1,098$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.72 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Fils | 14c | 1,057$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Fils | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Fils | 13c | 781.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…3c12backed Fils | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Fils | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Fils | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…2335backed Fils | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Fils | 11c | 499.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Fils | 14c | 478.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb2…498dbacked Fils | 3c | 436.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fils | 12c | 418.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Fils | 10c | 400$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…d6fabacked Fils | 14c | 392.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Fils | 13c | 376.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Fils | 14c | 371.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Fils | 12c | 360$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 177 | 46.9%83 W · 94 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Fils | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a06…160abacked Fils | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Fils | 8c | 352.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fils | 11c | 352.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Fils | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Fils | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Fils | 14c | 290$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…ff35backed Fils | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Fils | 10c | 282.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Fils | 13c | 272$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Fils | 8c | 208.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…0927backed Fils | 14c | 207.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…3c1cbacked Fils | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…cef8backed Fils | 14c | 171.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…8681backed Fils | 12c | 161.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Fils | 13c | 152.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b33fbacked Fils | 13c | 151.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…8b7dbacked Fils | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 268 | 37.3%100 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Fils | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Fils | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…c325backed Fils | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Fils | 14c | 141.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Fils | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…6fc6backed Fils | 14c | 135.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Fils | 14c | 132.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Fils | 16c | 125.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Fils | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 277 | 55.6%154 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…0fa2backed Fils | 14c | 117.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Fils | 14c | 115.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Fils | 10c | 114.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Fils | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Fils | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Fils | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Fils | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Fils | 13c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Fils | 14c | 92.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Fils | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Fils | 14c | 85.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa3…fc0ebacked Fils | 14c | 77.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Fils | 14c | 74.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Filsthis page
- Alcaraz vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs FilsAlcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)Alcaraz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.