Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dcdceef97f930d412267acfcb09bba770ba340b970b84deda08b96c6c07a929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 27c | 3,442$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.02 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 3,439$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.63 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 3,094$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.79 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,104$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 1,516$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.68 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes | 26c | 1,486$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.95 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 19c | 1,250$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.49 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 24c | 999.49$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.61 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 994.93$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.64 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 26c | 818.36$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.59 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 627.41$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.75 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 77c | 590.2$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 18c | 499.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 480.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.75 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 420.93$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…85debacked Yes | 25c | 392.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 73c | 367.67$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.4 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 22c | 275.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Yes | 29c | 258.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…0927backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 47c | 190.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 188.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 76c | 163.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 67c | 161.48$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 25c | 160.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 151.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 20c | 150.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 75c | 128.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 29c | 121.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7a…11f6backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 26c | 91.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…3d47backed Yes | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 20c | 79.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 69c | 72.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed No | 79c | 67.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 75c | 60.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 51.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 76c | 49.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 26c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 75c | 45.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…6b7bbacked No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995a…423bbacked Yes | 69c | 31.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 72c | 16.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.