Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1a2486b6f14f99d7a12ab96ddd065f99af89196e7398b9696beae71bbfe6dc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 52c | 13,470$6,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,512.3 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.95 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 9,700$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.65 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 7,880$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.47 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 45c | 6,517$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.64 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 57c | 3,682$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.13 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 2,849$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 46c | 1,768$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 17c | 1,728$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.3 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 48c | 1,443$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.45 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 52c | 1,223$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.35 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 1,064$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.58 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 55c | 982.42$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.22 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 47c | 891.43$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.97 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 47c | 678.71$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 58c | 501.59$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.11 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 49c | 442.82$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.98 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 63c | 435.73$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 44c | 423.19$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Yes | 32c | 423$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 52c | 417$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 56c | 372.91$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 48c | 354.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…85debacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2233…f18ebacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 218.1$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…e7cebacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 183.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 43c | 166.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yes | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 51c | 157$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Yes | 42c | 148.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 55c | 147.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 145.93$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes | 49c | 114$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 56c | 107.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 49c | 106.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Yes | 49c | 98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 57c | 86.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 65c | 83.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 49c | 60.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…249bbacked Yes | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 47c | 54.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 44c | 53.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…6b7bbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Yes | 48c | 48.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked No | 55c | 47.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…79ddbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 53c | 40.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 46c | 34.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Yes | 46c | 32.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 32.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 30.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 45c | 29.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…cc5fbacked No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Yes | 49c | 28.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Yes | 45c | 27.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 52c | 20.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…3729backed Yes | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 69c | 18.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.