Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc92ddfbe82e214b4c1cdb87bce05d658b82fcb3d64a7253caee9f110ffd2538c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Brannof FC Midtjylland, SK Brann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SK Brann | 72c | 35,822$25,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,974.2 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Midtjylland | 28c | 28,796$8,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,048.36 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked FC Midtjylland | 28c | 7,199$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed SK Brann | 66c | 2,385$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.94 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed FC Midtjylland | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed SK Brann | 75c | 692$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked FC Midtjylland | 25c | 598.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SK Brann | 72c | 485.21$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed FC Midtjylland | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…e65abacked FC Midtjylland | 26c | 385.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed FC Midtjylland | 26c | 383.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed FC Midtjylland | 25c | 222.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd847…62bbbacked FC Midtjylland | 25c | 215.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SK Brann | 75c | 207.77$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed FC Midtjylland | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked FC Midtjylland | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed SK Brann | 70c | 134.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed FC Midtjylland | 9c | 125.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked SK Brann | 75c | 112$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked FC Midtjylland | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked FC Midtjylland | 28c | 85.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked FC Midtjylland | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…58ecbacked FC Midtjylland | 29c | 71.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9a…d45cbacked SK Brann | 72c | 59.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed FC Midtjylland | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked FC Midtjylland | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed SK Brann | 61c | 34.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed SK Brann | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked SK Brann | 69c | 28.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed SK Brann | 75c | 26.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…a36fbacked FC Midtjylland | 50c | 21.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed SK Brann | 71c | 19.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed SK Brann | 72c | 18.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked SK Brann | 61c | 16.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)this page
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.