Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbab86d8a4757b765549a0cbf5fcc474c68add63f69e374be6787ae461823dcfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 78c | 880.58$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.47 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 17c | 829.41$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.41 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 17c | 612.13$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.09 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 495.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.57 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 14c | 379$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.91 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 20c | 130.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0c…a3e0backed Over | 18c | 85.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +357.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…7243backed Over | 50c | 46.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Over | 57c | 42.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 51c | 38.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 77c | 17.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5this page
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)SK Brann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.