Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b04408be4e2b27f65ac91db5f2f72002dc4cc0cb7101847dff527727eb65c72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 2,659$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.57 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 38c | 2,250$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 57c | 999.91$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.96 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 899.75$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.05 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 629.66$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.75 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 315$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 44c | 206.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 57c | 150.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 67c | 83.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 69.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 43c | 47.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Yes | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 62c | 44.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…4aa8backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Yes | 61c | 33.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 58c | 25.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 67c | 25.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)SK Brann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.