Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5e0863d251d9321249612e3bbe70e5a1c42135a99d219eb4492f19fb6e92594
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked Under | 45c | 11,044$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 6,009$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.6 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 1,959$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.31 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 52c | 1,918$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.93 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 1,692$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.59 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 54c | 1,439$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.94 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…a392backed Under | 47c | 1,311$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 14c | 700$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 585.82$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.46 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 53c | 558$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.37 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 53c | 509.16$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.85 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 481.55$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 749 | 39.4%295 W · 454 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 52c | 458.23$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 53c | 372.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.97 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 52c | 363.46$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Over | 56c | 356.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 67c | 332.1$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 56c | 242.54$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 175.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…5d56backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 53c | 100.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 40c | 94.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c2…6784backed Over | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 57c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 251 | 49.4%124 W · 127 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 57c | 53.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…f81abacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…17c7backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…a474backed Over | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 45c | 29.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Under | 52c | 19.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5this page
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)SK Brann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.