Serie A · resolved market
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06889b241dc5cc8ebce55e890389141293c03d41841c3a145ba0a4b942dd09a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Como 1907of AC Milan, Como 1907
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed AC Milan | 18c | 13,783$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.38 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed AC Milan | 19c | 3,100$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.66 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked AC Milan | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked AC Milan | 19c | 1,249$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.27 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed AC Milan | 4c | 1,135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed AC Milan | 19c | 1,012$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.38 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed AC Milan | 19c | 684.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed AC Milan | 17c | 589.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked AC Milan | 17c | 588.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed AC Milan | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked AC Milan | 16c | 206.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed AC Milan | 19c | 185.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked AC Milan | 19c | 182.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked AC Milan | 19c | 173.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…2b56backed AC Milan | 18c | 134.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39e…0028backed AC Milan | 15c | 133.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed AC Milan | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked AC Milan | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked AC Milan | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Como 1907 | 77c | 81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Como 1907 | 80c | 37.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)this page
- AC Milan vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.