TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,498 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c25,193$9,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,050.532,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over62c11,290$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,290.21070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under27c6,290$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.6696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over71c4,226$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.543464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over54c3,100$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.923053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over80c2,300$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4622290.9%20 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+39.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over69c2,243$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.3316046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fdd…3608backed Over76c1,641$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c1,270$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.1298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over69c1,012$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.5710361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under44c951.19$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.953271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over71c935.22$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.971070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over69c869.57$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.571764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc918…f848backed Over69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+104.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over56c719.64$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.642259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over72c667.52$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.5211161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0319353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c637.84$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.731,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under32c628.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.265935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14411268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over71c589$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.013357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24015042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13531441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c499.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9714748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.555242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Over73c445.21$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.211346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over66c430$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.28957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Over72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.676645.5%30 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b5…8ccfbacked Over69c405.8$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under29c344.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9933144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1609440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over69c318.96$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under25c306$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.526040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under31c285$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.536744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+103.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Under24c246$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.042941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over72c236.82$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.683161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Under31c220.69$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over52c219.83$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.524070%28 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over71c216.29$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7240447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under24c216$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8425556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed Over70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.292365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over71c209.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.834365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under35c207.89$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7631051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf94b…94a7backed Over52c192.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under31c191.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under24c184$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1616851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under29c180$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.29045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked Over66c178.17$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.58955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over70c162.05$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.62955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under32c159$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over64c153.8$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.81944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked Under23c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b9…8714backed Over67c149.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.71560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251675%12 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.065768.4%39 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c144.95$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.937552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked Over50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c133.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under31c129.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5430828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over64c126.6$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.31978.9%15 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.33per pick46cpaid+105.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under30c121.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.316340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over71c118.95$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9515253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed Under27c115$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.051225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.091090%9 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick61cpaid+46.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over72c104.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.172763%17 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5134553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472544%11 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3126747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under24c96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0412453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under24c96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0411454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under24c96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0413650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under29c93.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2746047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over78c85.9$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Under29c85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.65520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over72c83.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.615147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.27462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under30c73.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e09…f745backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.464100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4215259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x514f…ee49backed Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421090%9 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick64cpaid+51.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over73c69.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4417958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Under32c69.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.181020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-50.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Under45c66.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over61c64.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.121070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under24c62.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.178940.4%36 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under31c60.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.76850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over71c59.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.736852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Over58c59.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df7…29c5backed Over68c59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.88966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…c3e2backed Under49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.