TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,325 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under57c50,000$28,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,500.55349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over43c13,596$5,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,846.2296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c11,541$6,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,584.862,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over38c8,776$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,328.21392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick66cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over44c7,200$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.8840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over36c6,959$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over43c4,292$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.562951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Over43c3,837$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under57c2,983$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.744757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over43c2,847$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.0798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over43c2,511$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.333148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under63c2,405$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.6934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under69c2,072$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.9649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c2,056$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.611,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over45c1,880$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84616046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under61c1,570$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.2893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over36c1,380$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over36c1,133$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.955935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under51c1,131$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.063271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over43c1,073$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.3922348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Under55c1,049$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.972250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8610650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over28c884.24$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over45c744.44$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3358757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under57c665.22$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over42c601.7$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.171776.5%13 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.35per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Under56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over42c559.05$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.81747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over41c540$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.43438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under55c534.95$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7321058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9915042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Under51c447.43$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.262941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Under19c427.41$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over38c420.02$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1588744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over48c418.95$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.784845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over40c417.5$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Under55c399.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over45c388.89$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over45c350$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.523353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Over44c339.34$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506645.5%30 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over50c308$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.086744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over41c302.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.18944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12928556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1476863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over42c297.62$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over40c296.58$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.634551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over50c289$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.84535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under62c286.24$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.168659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2949…4cc8backed Over39c284.86$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over40c283.72$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4936630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over43c270$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.125556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.542347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Over36c246.65$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Over49c236.73$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003663.9%23 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over31c228.28$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.894753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f64…452abacked Over40c220.86$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over45c218.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.263740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9e…3fbabacked Over46c217.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9415648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9045547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over44c199.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9911127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over45c192.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.539937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under55c181.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8133144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Over42c173.81$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under60c166.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.412737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over42c164.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6917058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over25c157.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4918055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5752…1a39backed Over53c152.83$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over34c150.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.049440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Under55c149.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4911666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over42c145.9$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.121978.9%15 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.33per pick46cpaid+105.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Over43c139.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c133.79$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462a…45f0backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d4c…a700backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over43c121.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.171070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.612453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.612754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.