Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x944e83b43af52075410450c3250cf5b9c54c7017e000ea87094f49cdd194ace6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 19,657$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.52 | 2,013 | 39.4%794 W · 1,219 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Over | 24c | 2,103$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 75c | 1,362$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.32 | 407 | 46.9%191 W · 216 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 23c | 1,239$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.44 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 25c | 1,205$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 15c | 758.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 17c | 735.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 20c | 586$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 17c | 559.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Over | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 75c | 222$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Over | 24c | 146$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 21c | 113.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 24c | 107.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 461 | 47.3%218 W · 243 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 18c | 103.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 13c | 98.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 21c | 92.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 13c | 79.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 74c | 76.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…ffb3backed Over | 14c | 74.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Over | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 16c | 65.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…f3c6backed Over | 23c | 65.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 24c | 46.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 75c | 39.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Under | 76c | 29.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 77c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5this page
- AC Milan vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.