Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bc2d8da22bf6129b7f0b95f41dcec67c2c128c10c90b12b2f4891c0a7eb37b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeds United FCof Leeds United FC, Norwich City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Norwich City FC | 63c | 13,542$8,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,559.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Leeds United FC | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Leeds United FC | 36c | 3,056$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.56 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Norwich City FC | 64c | 2,077$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.32 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.97 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 958.77$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.44 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Leeds United FC | 41c | 244.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leeds United FC | 63c | 220.86$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Leeds United FC | 37c | 212.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Norwich City FC | 65c | 183.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Norwich City FC | 60c | 165.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Norwich City FC | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 125$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Leeds United FC | 40c | 110.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Norwich City FC | 65c | 106.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 101.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Norwich City FC | 56c | 77.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Norwich City FC | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Norwich City FC | 62c | 55.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Leeds United FC | 43c | 52.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 43.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Norwich City FC | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x791d…c32bbacked Leeds United FC | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Leeds United FC | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Leeds United FC | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Leeds United FC | 41c | 28.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Leeds United FC | 43c | 28.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.