Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb1baded77e10f54c63f2433951a751c9126ec238140851155e9eb3580493603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,245 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 5,555$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.5 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 80c | 3,200$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 16c | 1,778$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.52 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Under | 25c | 999.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.45 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fba…0516backed Over | 68c | 818.45$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 22c | 551.95$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 80c | 250.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 30c | 196.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 149$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 79c | 148.3$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 21c | 123.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.