Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x551f0d2a15d792c36ff88a22300053c45e0781e1a0e2ad908d7358e692ad76a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,338 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 2,532$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fba…0516backed Over | 79c | 1,034$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 33c | 913.67$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.69 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Under | 40c | 818.81$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.21 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 618.29$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.29 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 569.49$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.76 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 60c | 444$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 60c | 415.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 51c | 404.45$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.25 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 75c | 280.43$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 40c | 239.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.69 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 208.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under | 40c | 206.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 73c | 194.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Over | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 149.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 42c | 112.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 67c | 97.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 60c | 83.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 50c | 77.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 70.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 42c | 47.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 54c | 43.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…5ce3backed Over | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…b088backed Over | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Under | 43c | 27.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Under | 63c | 27.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.32per pick | 53cpaid | -70%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 60c | 25.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Over | 61c | 25.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 62c | 23.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…e36bbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Over | 75c | 16.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.