Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa71df9cb06985a36842063bdd33dbe3ea105ed6db59e71b455a10f1501bd484
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,519 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 59c | 9,882$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 6,089$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.54 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 41c | 3,537$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.21 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 41c | 2,549$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.52 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed No | 58c | 520.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 52c | 465.76$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 55c | 407.5$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed No | 57c | 312$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…1763backed Yes | 55c | 230.84$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 42c | 204.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 411 | 60.1%247 W · 164 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 40c | 124.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 48c | 109.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 43c | 104.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 42c | 80.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…8282backed Yes | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Yes | 38c | 63.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…97e2backed Yes | 57c | 36.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -7.4wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.