Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c6479c063228652151dcf9e3ab2d46b9ba8c56f9e04795f9f4e12ed3367beea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southampton FCof Fulham FC, Southampton FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,127 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southampton FC | 66c | 54,267$35,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,663.42 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Fulham FC | 35c | 50,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,499.84 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Fulham FC | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Fulham FC | 25c | 1,624$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Fulham FC | 35c | 1,250$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Fulham FC | 34c | 988.94$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.16 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Southampton FC | 64c | 742.3$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.23 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Southampton FC | 79c | 503.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Fulham FC | 21c | 408.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…c0cabacked Fulham FC | 38c | 396$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Southampton FC | 66c | 309.53$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Southampton FC | 65c | 252.93$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Southampton FC | 65c | 237.6$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Fulham FC | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Southampton FC | 66c | 223.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd7…6b06backed Southampton FC | 62c | 204$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…8704backed Southampton FC | 62c | 192$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Fulham FC | 18c | 190$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Fulham FC | 31c | 175.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Fulham FC | 25c | 162.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Southampton FC | 63c | 157.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Southampton FC | 67c | 137.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Southampton FC | 61c | 107.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Fulham FC | 39c | 102.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Southampton FC | 75c | 101.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Southampton FC | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…2da0backed Southampton FC | 65c | 93.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Fulham FC | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Southampton FC | 66c | 79.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Southampton FC | 72c | 78.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Southampton FC | 59c | 78.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…f667backed Fulham FC | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Southampton FC | 65c | 70.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Fulham FC | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Fulham FC | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Fulham FC | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Fulham FC | 20c | 50.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…ff78backed Southampton FC | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Fulham FC | 38c | 42.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Fulham FC | 40c | 42.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Southampton FC | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…2290backed Southampton FC | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…6f86backed Fulham FC | 36c | 28.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Southampton FC | 65c | 24.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…e36bbacked Southampton FC | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…d352backed Southampton FC | 65c | 18.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Southampton FC | 65c | 16.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)this page
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.