Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc93be8094fdbea141598614d118ac0583a8385eeb6eb0e2e40cb82e01a887cd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,037 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 23,713$10,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,805.24 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 64c | 11,671$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 57c | 5,900$3,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 39c | 4,929$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.43 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over | 64c | 3,333$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 54c | 3,112$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 36c | 2,637$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.15 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Over | 30c | 2,300$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 2,271$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.51 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 60c | 1,943$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.74 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 53c | 1,453$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.67 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 32c | 1,310$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 43c | 1,132$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.7 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 568.53$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 28c | 550.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Under | 58c | 465.72$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 54c | 426.21$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Under | 77c | 340.94$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 24c | 315.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 41c | 198.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 44c | 193.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 182.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 63c | 162.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ce…0f40backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Under | 74c | 123.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 47c | 119.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 40c | 118.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 112.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 45c | 110.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Under | 70c | 105.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 39c | 83.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 16c | 72.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Under | 42c | 50.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 49.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 42c | 41.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 36c | 37.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…e37cbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -71%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 63c | 31.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cae…db7fbacked Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…6e13backed Over | 63c | 22.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…bce5backed Under | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.