Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5d6cce418a6688a4595fb33c7d9d4e8d0ac34c1fa3f2c770ae0936024467586
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,288 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 60c | 20,413$12,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,228.3 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 40c | 11,696$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,021.03 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 42c | 4,935$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.46 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed No | 55c | 2,010$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes | 62c | 903.32$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.14 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 855.2$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.96 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 36c | 827.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 62c | 537.1$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 38c | 509.68$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 43c | 379.47$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.44 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 37c | 348$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.72 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Yes | 39c | 300$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 38c | 286$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.04 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 39c | 203.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 63c | 198.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de8…2a38backed Yes | 65c | 166.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 41c | 128.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…4af2backed Yes | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 34c | 106.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 60c | 99.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Yes | 62c | 98.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 20c | 95.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed No | 47c | 71.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 56.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…bd53backed Yes | 61c | 42.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed No | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 68c | 39.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326a…e8e3backed No | 78c | 38.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…e3fdbacked Yes | 55c | 36.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 67c | 34.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 67c | 33.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 61c | 32.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…7047backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.