Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb79d5a1cabf0de17124ae005cd78febc971aa85a3a2adeb7bc769e045af24972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,748 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 20,415$10,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,099.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 55c | 7,040$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.94 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 58c | 3,440$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.67 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 28c | 3,030$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.4 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 42c | 2,999$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.59 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 2,088$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.74 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,342$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.75 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 49c | 1,231$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.94 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 17c | 997.11$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.51 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 50c | 996.38$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.19 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…8c4fbacked Over | 74c | 934$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 57c | 774.07$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.22 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 49c | 721.71$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.56 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 44c | 674$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.29 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed Over | 19c | 604.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 57c | 527.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 74c | 519.39$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.35 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Under | 73c | 441.1$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 17c | 322.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 68c | 293.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…3286backed Over | 57c | 255.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 40c | 250.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Over | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 199.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 69c | 198.55$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbf…3677backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 149.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…5587backed Over | 70c | 140.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 73c | 140$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 46c | 116.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 72c | 112.22$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 39c | 111.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Under | 46c | 108.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 23c | 97.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 87.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 52c | 86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 18c | 84.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 17c | 79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 44c | 78.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 33c | 77.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 36c | 73.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Under | 46c | 63.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 37c | 54.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…cf85backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0718…fccebacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b3…52debacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7f…3006backed Under | 50c | 39.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 53c | 35.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 47c | 31.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…72a6backed Over | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 79c | 23.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.