Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cf77f3bb72a7de3b32c89b4d670203bbd36fb13662126f30799fa9cfdc1cbdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,532 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 41c | 6,108$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 59c | 5,454$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.2 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 10c | 2,734$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 41c | 1,397$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.94 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 33c | 1,248$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.33 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 28c | 500$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…131fbacked Under | 61c | 317$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb7…3f7fbacked Over | 39c | 304$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0e…d916backed Over | 39c | 286$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9c…e9f4backed Under | 61c | 273$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 59c | 221.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…7eb1backed Over | 17c | 161.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…fcf3backed Under | 75c | 133.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 62c | 81.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Over | 16c | 76.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 61c | 56.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 31c | 47.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.