TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wrexham AFCof Chelsea FC, Wrexham AFC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,424 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed Wrexham AFC62c90,909$56,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,734.686857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chelsea FC38c42,989$16,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,362.866,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Chelsea FC38c19,460$7,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3847229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Chelsea FC24c8,998$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.4245936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Wrexham AFC63c5,763$3,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.7146943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Chelsea FC38c5,263$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Wrexham AFC64c4,293$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.375851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Chelsea FC39c3,432$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.419272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Chelsea FC48c3,093$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Wrexham AFC61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.999256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Chelsea FC34c2,739$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.9516024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Chelsea FC38c2,474$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Chelsea FC39c1,795$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.161338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wrexham AFC62c1,610$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.851750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Chelsea FC39c1,603$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.225632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Chelsea FC38c1,486$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Chelsea FC39c1,399$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.5633057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Chelsea FC40c1,397$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.9811450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Wrexham AFC55c657.22$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.7516040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Chelsea FC40c582.86$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x179d…e18bbacked Chelsea FC19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-85.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Chelsea FC38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Chelsea FC39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1957268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8234…8200backed Chelsea FC38c490.92$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Chelsea FC38c403.47$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.321540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Chelsea FC38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Chelsea FC38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523839.5%15 W · 23 L-8.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Chelsea FC39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Chelsea FC40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011047.3%52 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Chelsea FC40c398.54$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4820758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Chelsea FC38c382$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1617153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Chelsea FC39c353.85$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1384930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Chelsea FC20c350$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Chelsea FC38c333$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5445751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Chelsea FC38c309.94$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7823250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Chelsea FC38c309.82$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7339052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Chelsea FC38c286.84$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Chelsea FC38c266.55$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8516357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95db…dc65backed Chelsea FC39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Chelsea FC38c256$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.461441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…b990backed Chelsea FC40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Chelsea FC38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9519244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e0…fbb1backed Chelsea FC41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc740…217ebacked Chelsea FC46c216.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Chelsea FC45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Chelsea FC27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010547.6%50 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Chelsea FC46c180$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4128242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Wrexham AFC57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.449749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Wrexham AFC54c167.26$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.71,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Wrexham AFC62c163$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.365565.5%36 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Chelsea FC39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Chelsea FC39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Chelsea FC39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Chelsea FC39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Chelsea FC38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5719357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Wrexham AFC67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Chelsea FC38c147.57$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1949753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33e…855fbacked Chelsea FC45c132.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-68%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Chelsea FC39c125$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Chelsea FC44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.89840.8%40 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Chelsea FC41c118.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0436758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Chelsea FC38c112.13$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9113152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9269…5eb8backed Chelsea FC44c107.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.53630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86c2…a266backed Wrexham AFC63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Chelsea FC37c97.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3640953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a5…f731backed Wrexham AFC62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Chelsea FC39c90$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.132357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Chelsea FC31c89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8666031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Chelsea FC39c82.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.981559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b43…31cebacked Chelsea FC17c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f7…1beebacked Chelsea FC26c76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Chelsea FC38c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.519834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Chelsea FC37c65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0515245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Wrexham AFC63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.492857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Wrexham AFC52c62.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8951847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Chelsea FC39c60.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2424844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Chelsea FC39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.433156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Chelsea FC39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Chelsea FC39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.432255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Chelsea FC39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.433057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Chelsea FC43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab1…c560backed Chelsea FC39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Chelsea FC39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.432755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Chelsea FC43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Chelsea FC39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Chelsea FC39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.431557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Chelsea FC39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.437958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Chelsea FC39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.432158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Chelsea FC39c53.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9310046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6a…5b18backed Wrexham AFC63c51.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Chelsea FC44c51.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8910448.1%50 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe46b…b195backed Chelsea FC38c51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3840%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Chelsea FC39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.529657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Chelsea FC39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.536259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Chelsea FC37c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.518963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Chelsea FC39c47.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3751516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Wrexham AFC64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.881643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Chelsea FC44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209339.8%37 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Chelsea FC44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Chelsea FC44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011630.2%35 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.